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China has sent dozens of coast guard and maritime militia vessels toward a disputed atoll in the South China Sea, a large show of force aimed at blocking a civilian protest flotilla from the Philippines, as tensions between the countries have flared. The Filipino group organizing the flotilla of about 100 small fishing boats, led by five slightly bigger ones, said it wanted to assert the Philippines’ claims to Scarborough Shoal, an atoll controlled by Beijing that is closer to Manila. But even before the motley Philippine fleet set out on Wednesday morning, China deployed a formidable contingent of much bigger government-run ships to the area, an intimidating escalation of its frequent assertions of control over vast expanses of sea far from its mainland. “What we’re seeing this time, I would say, is definitely of another order,” said Ray Powell, the director of SeaLight, a group that monitors the South China Sea. “I think that the China Coast Guard is concerned that they’re going to try to sort of get too close and so they’re sending an overwhelming force.”
Persons: , Ray Powell Organizations: Philippine, China Coast Guard Locations: China, South China, Philippines, Scarborough, Beijing, Manila
Tuesday’s wholesale inflation data, which jumped to its highest rate in a year, certainly wasn’t a source of comfort. “I wouldn’t call it hot, I would call it sort of mixed,” Powell said Tuesday, referring to the new wholesale inflation data. Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell (center) spoke Tuesday at an event hosted by the Foreign Bankers' Association alongside European Central Bank Governing Council member Klaas Knot. Another troubling sign for US central bankers is consumers’ belief that inflation will move higher in the year ahead, according to two surveys Fed officials monitor closely. That can lead to higher prices.
Persons: Jerome Powell, Powell, Price, ” Powell, , Klaas, Michelle Bowman Organizations: New, New York CNN, Foreign Bankers ’ Association, European Central Bank Governing, Federal, Foreign Bankers, Association alongside European Central Bank Governing, Foreign Bankers Amsterdam, Locations: New York
Major indexes were slightly higher after the data as investors assessed the impact on rate cut outlooks. April's producer price index data beat estimates, gaining 0.5% for the month against 0.3% consensus estimates. The PPI data comes a day before Wednesday's consumer price index and will give investors a broader frame of reference. If CPI data is equally hot, the stuttering stock rally could face even more negative consequences. The 10-year Treasury briefly topped 4.5% after the PPI data before slipping by about one basis point to 4.465.
Persons: Jerome Powell, , Chris Zaccarelli, Keith Gill Organizations: Service, PPI, Independent, Federal, GameStop, AMC, Treasury, Here's
Please refresh the page if you do not see a player above at that time.] Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell speaks Tuesday to the annual general meeting of the Foreign Bankers' Association in Amsterdam. Policymakers remain concerned that inflation is not showing enough evidence that it is moving toward the Fed's 2% annual target. Recent data points have shown prices both at the consumer and wholesale levels running hotter than expected while consumer sentiment also has shown elevated expectations over the short term. Markets still expect the Fed to lower rates later this year, and Powell said following the FOMC meeting that he thinks it unlikely that rates will increase from here.
Persons: Jerome Powell, Powell, Read Organizations: Foreign Bankers ' Association in, Market, CNBC, YouTube Locations: Foreign Bankers ' Association in Amsterdam
New York CNN —If voters return former President Donald Trump to the White House, he’s promised to launch an unprecedented crackdown on immigration and even conduct mass deportations. Trump recently told Time that he would aim to deport 15 million to 20 million people, perhaps by using the National Guard. Even though consumer prices are no longer skyrocketing, the cumulative impact of three years of high inflation is painful. “Most Americans view high inflation and high prices as unfair. But immigration remains a major concern for voters in the 2024 election and Trump has made it a centerpiece of his campaign.
Persons: Donald Trump, he’s, Trump, , Mark Zandi, “ It’s, Joe Brusuelas, ” Brusuelas, You’d, , Karoline Leavitt, Joe Biden “, ” Leavitt, , Joe Biden, Zandi, Trump’s, criminologists, Biden, Jerome Powell, Brusuelas, Goldman Sachs, ” Goldman Sachs, Wendy Edelberg, Edelberg, that’s Organizations: New, New York CNN, White, National Guard, Federal Reserve, CNN, RSM, Trump, Social Security, University of Michigan, Labor Department ., The Hamilton, , Hamilton, Security, Congressional, Office, The Hamilton Project, Brookings Institution Locations: New York, China, Covid, Mexico, United States
GameStop shares soared once again ahead of Tuesday's opening bell. Other meme stocks like AMC and BlackBerry have also racked up big gains this week. Market gurus like Jim Chanos and Larry McDonald aren't convinced by the Reddit-fueled rally, though. AdvertisementGameStop and other big-name "meme stocks" kept rising ahead of Tuesday's opening bell — but some of the best-known voices in the market are highly skeptical about the rally. AMC, BlackBerry, and several other meme stocks — notable for their popularity on retail investing forums such as Reddit's r/WallStreetBets — also racked up major gains in early-morning trading.
Persons: Jim Chanos, Larry McDonald aren't, , Keith Gill's, Gill, Kitty, Keith Gill, Roaring, Lol, Ferris, Larry McDonald, Jerome, Powell's Organizations: GameStop, AMC, BlackBerry, Service, Pirates
Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell reiterated Tuesday that inflation is falling more slowly than expected and will keep the central bank on hold for an extended period. But these [inflation readings] were higher than I think anybody expected," Powell said. While he expects inflation to come down through the year, he noted that hasn't happened so far. "I do think it's really a question of keeping policy at the current rate for longer than had been thought," he said. "I think it's more likely that we'll be at a place where we hold the policy rate where it is."
Persons: Jerome Powell, Janet Yellen, Powell Organizations: Treasury Department, Federal, Foreign Bankers ' Association in Locations: Washington , DC, Foreign Bankers ' Association in Amsterdam
Jerome H. Powell, the Federal Reserve chair, reiterated that policymakers were poised to hold interest rates steady at a high level as they waited for evidence that inflation is slowing further. Fed officials entered 2024 expecting to make interest rate cuts, having lifted borrowing costs sharply to a more than two-decade high of 5.3 percent between 2022 and the middle of last year. Speaking during a panel discussion in Amsterdam, Mr. Powell said that officials had been surprised by recent inflation readings. The Consumer Price Index inflation measure, which is set for release on Wednesday, came down rapidly in 2023 but has gotten stuck above 3 percent this year. The Fed’s preferred measure, the Personal Consumption Expenditures index, is slightly cooler, but it, too, remains well above the Fed’s 2 percent inflation goal.
Persons: Jerome H, Powell Organizations: Federal Reserve, Fed, Mr Locations: Amsterdam
A downgrade revision in March's producer price index helped curb inflation concerns. Fed Chairman Jerome Powell signaled that interest rates will have to remain higher for longer. download the app Email address Sign up By clicking “Sign Up”, you accept our Terms of Service and Privacy Policy . While April's producer price index gained 0.5% against expectations of a 0.3% rise, March's data was revised to show a 0.1% decline. Many are also waiting to see Wednesday's consumer price index release, before determining whether to retreat from markets.
Persons: Stocks, Jerome Powell, , Quincy Krosby Organizations: Service, Nasdaq, Federal, Global, LPL, AMC Locations: Here's
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailFed chair Powell: Confidence in inflation moving back down not as high as it wasFederal Chair Jerome Powell speaks Tuesday to the annual general meeting of the Foreign Bankers' Association in Amsterdam.
Persons: Powell, Jerome Powell Organizations: Foreign Bankers ' Association in Locations: Foreign Bankers ' Association in Amsterdam
The return of "Roaring Kitty" sparked a jaw-dropping advance in GameStop shares Monday, but such a speculative rally in an unprofitable company will likely end badly once again. Roaring Kitty, the man who inspired the meme stock mania of 2021, resurfaced online with a cryptic image showing a man in a chair leaning forward. GME 5D mountain GameStop Pachter has a underperform rating on GameStop and a $5.60 price target. At Monday's peak, GameStop hit $38.20. During 2021's mania, GameStop shares hit an all-time high of $120.75 intraday, adjusted for a subsequent 4-for-1 stock split in the summer of 2022.
Persons: Kitty, Michael Pachter, Pachter, Jeff deGraaf, he's, deGraaf, Jerome Powell, Bernstein, Mark Schilsky Organizations: GameStop, CNBC, Federal Reserve, Macro
US stocks were mixed on Monday, with the Nasdaq higher while the Dow ended its 8-day win streak. Investors are bracing for the release of two inflation data points this week: PPI and CPI. The inflation data will help inform investors when the Fed might cut interest rates. AdvertisementUS stocks were mixed on Monday, with the Nasdaq 100 higher while the Dow declined slightly, ending its 8-day win streak. The inflation data will help investors determine when the Federal Reserve might cut interest rates.
Persons: , Dow, Keith Gill, Jerome Powell Organizations: Nasdaq, Dow, PPI, CPI, Service, Dow Jones, GameStop, AMC Entertainment, Federal Reserve
Stock futures flickered near the flatline Monday evening as Wall Street braced for the release of key inflation reports. S&P 500 futures inched down 0.02%, while Nasdaq 100 futures slipped 0.08%. Another market catalyst will emerge Tuesday morning as the first of two key inflation reports will be released. "It's not unusual for Wall Street and Main Street to see the economy differently — the different perspective stems from different points of focus. Stock market movements are based on expectations of future economic performance, not necessarily current conditions," said Brent Schutte, chief investment officer at Northwestern Mutual Wealth Management.
Persons: Dow, Dow Jones, Jerome Powell, Brent Schutte Organizations: Nasdaq, Dow Jones Industrial, New York Federal Reserve, PPI, Northwestern Mutual Wealth Management
Investors have a big week ahead for economic data, including April CPI and retail sales results. AdvertisementUS stocks edged higher on Monday ahead of a busy week of economic data that could shake stock prices. The most anticipated report for investors this week is Wednesday's release of the April consumer price index report. The inflation data will help investors determine when the Federal Reserve might cut interest rates this year. Ahead of consumer inflation data, the producer price index will be released on Tuesday, with median estimates suggesting a 0.2% rise in April.
Persons: , Jerome Powell, Neel Kashkari Organizations: Dow Jones, Service, Federal Reserve, Investors, CPI, Philadelphia Fed, Minneapolis Fed Locations: Here's
In today's big story, we're looking at the people preparing for the collapse of the financial system . The big storyPreparing for the worstAdobe; Chelsea Jia Feng/BIOpinions fluctuate on the economy, but one group has a decidedly strong take. In the subreddit r/economiccollapse, users are preparing for a Soviet Union-type fall of the US economy , writes Business Insider's Jennifer Sor. Further down the economic totem pole, ALICEs (asset limited, income constrained, employed) are struggling to make ends meet . 3 things in techAlex Wong/Getty Images, STR / Contributor/Getty Images, Stephane De Sakutin/Contributor/Getty Images, Abanti Chowdhury/BIHow Mark Zuckerberg turned against the news.
Persons: , Chelsea Jia Feng, Jennifer Sor, Jennifer, aren't, Tyler, there's, Neil Dutta, Jim Simons, annualized, Alex Wong, Stephane De Sakutin, Abanti Chowdhury, Mark Zuckerberg, Zuckerberg, Rupert Murdoch, Sam Altman, Alyssa Powell, Rick Doblin, Dan DeFrancesco, Jordan Parker Erb, Hallam Bullock, George Glover, Grace Lett Organizations: Service, Business, Chelsea, Macro, Renaissance Technologies, Big Tech, Apple, FDA, FOX Locations: Soviet Union, China, Washington, Beijing, New York, London, Chicago
Markets typically respond to Fed comments with price swings in either direction, and recent research shows they are particularly reactive to Powell. And given the Fed's "data-dependent" approach, the baseline can change rapidly as new economic reports are released. "So now we're stuck with a system where there's only one view, there's only one outlook, it's a baseline outlook. And there's really no way to understand the Fed's thinking about where are the risks." Watch the video above to learn more about how the Fed's busy speaking schedule can create market volatility and how it balances transparency with market impact.
Persons: Jerome Powell, Powell, Andrew Levin, , Levin, Ben Bernanke Organizations: Fed, Federal, Center for Economic Policy Research, Dartmouth College, Federal Reserve Locations: Federal, what's
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailHow the Fed's quest for transparency made markets more volatileMarkets often respond to Fed comments with big price swings, and recent research shows they are particularly reactive to Fed Chair Jerome Powell.
Persons: Jerome Powell
The five-month, 28% sprint from the October correction low to the record high on the last trading day of the first quarter left the S & P 500 overbought, overheated and over-loved. .SPX YTD mountain S & P 500, YTD So far, so good, three weeks down and now three weeks up, taking the S & P 500 back to within 1% of its March 28 peak. More specifically, he tracks the correlation between S & P 500 and the Citi Economic Surprise Index. Fidelity Investments head of global macro Jurrien Timmer fashioned this look at the path of S & P 500 earnings heading into and through each calendar year, with 2024 holding up better than 2023 was last year at this time. The last time the S & P 500 was at today's level above 5200 in late March, the 12-month forward price/earnings multiple was 21.
Persons: that's, Jerome Powell, Scott Chronert, It's, Powell, Lori Calvasina, we've Organizations: U.S, Bank, Citi, Citi U.S, Fidelity Investments, Treasury, RBC Capital
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailRecent data has confirmed Fed Chair Powell's dovishness, says Fundstrat's Mark NewtonMark Newton, Fundstrat global head of technical strategy, joins 'Squawk Box' to discuss the latest market trends, technical trends, state of the economy, Treasury yields outlook, and more.
Persons: Powell's dovishness, Fundstrat's Mark Newton Mark Newton
Meet Kevin’s A.I. Friends
  + stars: | 2024-05-10 | by ( Kevin Roose | Casey Newton | Rachel Cohn | ) www.nytimes.com   time to read: 1 min
Apple | Spotify | Amazon | YouTube Listen to and follow ‘Hard Fork’Kevin reports on his monthlong experiment cultivating relationships with 18 companions generated by artificial intelligence. Then, Casey has a conversation with Turing, one of Kevin’s chatbot buddies, who has an interest in stoic philosophy and has one of the sexiest voices we’ve ever heard. And finally, we talk to Nomi’s founder and chief executive, Alex Cardinell, about the business behind A.I. Guests:Turing, Kevin’s A.I. Alex Cardinell, chief executive and founder of Nomi.
Persons: Kevin, Casey, Turing, Kevin’s, we’ve, Alex Cardinell, , Kevin’s A.I Organizations: Apple, Spotify, Nomi
US stocks jumped on Friday as the Dow Jones Industrial Average vied for an 8-day win streak. The upcoming April CPI report next week is the big data point that could move markets. AdvertisementUS stocks edged higher on Friday, setting the Dow Jones Industrial Average up for a potential eight-day win streak. Next week, investors will be laser-focused on the Wednesday release of April's inflation report, with economists expecting a 0.3% rise in the consumer price index. Fundstrat's Tom Lee said a light CPI report next week could set the stock market up for more gains in May.
Persons: , Jerome Powell, Michelle Bowman, Lorie Logan, Austan Goolsbee, Neel Kashkari, Michael Barr, Tom Lee, Lee Organizations: Dow Jones, Federal Reserve, Service, Federal Locations: Fundstrat, Here's
Stocks have been churning higher lately after Fed Chair Jerome Powell indicated rate hikes are likely off the table , a position that investors expect is a bullish event for equities. A strong earnings season, as well as some cooler labor data , also have investors more optimistic in this year's outlook. On Friday, all three major averages are on pace for a winning week, with the 30-stock index up by more than 2%. The market reaction Inflation data has been crucially important this year for investors. Export Price Index (April) 8:30 a.m. Housing Starts (April) 8:30 a.m.
Persons: Jerome Powell, Mike Dickson, Stocks, Dickson, Jeff Buchbinder, Buchbinder, Strategas, Jason De Sena Trennert, Ken Mahoney, Mahoney, Charles Schwab, Price Organizations: Federal Reserve, Dow Jones, Treasury, Horizon Investments, Nasdaq, UBS, Investments, ICE, Fed, LPL, Asset Management, Walmart, Deere, Retail, Cisco, Price, Housing, Philadelphia Fed, Manufacturing, Materials Locations: NAHB
Consumer sentiment slumped as inflation expectations rose, despite otherwise strong signals in the economy, according to a closely watched survey released Friday. The University of Michigan Survey of Consumers sentiment index for May posted an initial reading of 67.4 for the month, down from 77.2 in April and well off the Dow Jones consensus call for 76. Along with the downbeat sentiment measure, the outlook for inflation across the one- and five-year horizons increased. The inflation readings represent the biggest pitfall for policymakers as the Federal Reserve contemplates the near-term path of monetary policy. The next important data point for inflation comes Wednesday when the Labor Department releases its consumer price index report for April.
Persons: Dow Jones, Joanne Hsu, Paul Ashworth, Jeffrey Roach, it's, Jerome Powell Organizations: The University of Michigan Survey, Dow, North, Capital Economics, Federal Reserve, LPL, Fed, Labor Department Locations: North America, Michigan
Traders fear that elevated rates will uphold painfully high borrowing costs for consumers, squeeze corporate profit and weigh down the market. The labor market has stayed strong, consumers have continued spending and stocks have notched repeated record highs. The April jobs report was a welcome sign that the labor market is cooling without cratering. The labor market added just 175,000 positions last month, marking its lowest tally since October 2023 and a sharp cooldown from the upwardly revised 315,000 jobs added in March. First-time applications for unemployment benefits climbed last week to 231,000, the highest level since last August, in another sign that the labor market is cooling.
Persons: , , Jeff Buchbinder, Jerome Powell, ” Powell, April’s, David Russell, Matt Egan, Wally Adeyemo, Read, Diksha Madhok, Narendra Modi, Modi, Mukesh Ambani, Gautam Adani, Ambani, Ji, ” Modi, Rahul Gandhi Organizations: CNN Business, Bell, New York CNN, Federal, Traders, CNN, Fed, LPL, ” Treasury, Treasury, Reliance Industries, Adani, Indian National Congress Locations: New York, Thursday’s, , India
CFRA's Sam Stovall has emerged as one of the biggest bulls on Wall Street, seeing more room for the S & P 500 to run to a double-digit gain this year. This updated target marks one of the highest on the Street, behind only the 5,500 target from John Stoltzfus at Oppenheimer. It is also 6% higher than the average projection of 5,105, according to the CNBC Pro Market Strategist Survey , which rounds up the targets from the top 14 Wall Street strategists. .SPX YTD mountain S & P 500 The S & P 500 is up more than 9% this year, driven by the continuous rally in many megacap tech names. Stovall sees the S & P 500 hitting 5,610 in the next 12 months, which would translate into a 7.6% gain from Thursday's close of 5,214.
Persons: CFRA's Sam Stovall, John Stoltzfus, Stovall, he's, Jerome Powell, — CNBC's Michael Bloom Organizations: CNBC Pro Market, Survey, Federal Locations: Oppenheimer
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